Kyle Filipowski double double

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+230↓5%|+10

player double double

Kyle Filipowski double double

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+230↓5%|+10

player double double

31.60

Composite Score

-3.5%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

17.50

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Given the anticipated high-scoring game due to the Rockets' pace and the spread indicating a likely blowout, you might assume Filipowski would get more run; however, the evidence also suggests that if Houston takes control, his minutes could dwindle significantly. The Net EV of -0.03 indicates this wager's price is slightly incorrect but not significantly underpriced enough to overcome concerns about his recent performance and potential limited playing time, making this a riskier bet.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 40%

Evidence

→STATS: Filipowski has averaged 8.8 rebounds over his last 5 games, indicating he's on the cusp of achieving a double-double with consistent board numbers.
→MATCHUP: The Rockets are a high-paced team, potentially allowing for more rebounding opportunities and higher scoring for Filipowski, especially as their defensive performance has been inconsistent.
→NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of 13.5 in favor of the Rockets, it's likely that if the game becomes a shootout, Filipowski will get more minutes to keep up, increasing his chances for a double-double.
→TREND: In games against the Jazz, Filipowski has demonstrated significant rebounding strength, notably recording 10+ rebounds in multiple encounters which suggests he can replicate such performance.
→SITUATIONAL: The Jazz are currently on a 2-game losing streak, potentially leading to high minutes for a player like Filipowski as the team tries to find a spark in a high-pressure game against a strong Rockets squad.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 85%

Evidence

→STATS: Kyle Filipowski's recent averages of 12.8 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 1.4 assists indicate he is falling short of the double-double, as he would need significantly more assists to meet the requirement.
→MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are statistically stronger, boasting a better record (34-21) and a strong defense, which will challenge Filipowski's ability to accumulate the necessary points and rebounds in this matchup.
→NARRATIVE: With the projected spread of Houston Rockets -13.5 suggesting a likely blowout, Filipowski's minutes could be reduced significantly if the game gets out of hand, risking his ability to reach double digits in both points and rebounds.
→TREND: Over the last five games, Filipowski has only achieved one double-double, indicating a trend of underperformance in terms of stats necessary to hit the double-double target.
→SITUATIONAL: Filipowski has averaged only 21.1 minutes per game this season, limiting his opportunities to accumulate the required stats for a double-double, further complicated by the risk of limited playing time in a lopsided game.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 40%

Evidence

→STATS: Filipowski has averaged 8.8 rebounds over his last 5 games, indicating he's on the cusp of achieving a double-double with consistent board numbers.
→MATCHUP: The Rockets are a high-paced team, potentially allowing for more rebounding opportunities and higher scoring for Filipowski, especially as their defensive performance has been inconsistent.
→NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of 13.5 in favor of the Rockets, it's likely that if the game becomes a shootout, Filipowski will get more minutes to keep up, increasing his chances for a double-double.
→TREND: In games against the Jazz, Filipowski has demonstrated significant rebounding strength, notably recording 10+ rebounds in multiple encounters which suggests he can replicate such performance.
→SITUATIONAL: The Jazz are currently on a 2-game losing streak, potentially leading to high minutes for a player like Filipowski as the team tries to find a spark in a high-pressure game against a strong Rockets squad.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2