SAL 9000
SAL 9000
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Keyonte George double double

πŸ’€ Noise Bet
+2200β€” stable
player double double

Keyonte George double double

πŸ’€ Noise Bet
+2200β€” stable
player double double
41.60
Composite Score
+4.7%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
23.40
Market Divergence

πŸ§ͺ SAL's Synthesis

While Keyonte George has shown scoring potential and benefits from a high-paced opponent, the combination of his low rebounding average and tough matchup against the Rockets' defense raise significant concerns. The modest Net EV of 0.05 suggests the bet is nearly breaking even, but the trend of only achieving a double-double once in the last five games further indicates this isn’t a strong enough value bet to justify action. Therefore, it's prudent to pass on this wager given the risks involved.

🟒 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 20%

Evidence

  • β†’STATS: Keyonte George has averaged 6.2 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game over his last five games, indicating he is close to achieving a double-double with his scoring and playmaking.
  • β†’MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are currently allowing a high pace of play, which typically results in more scoring opportunities and assists for the opposing teams, favoring George's potential to rack up double-digit stats.
  • β†’NARRATIVE: Given that the spread is set at a significant 13.5 points in favor of the Rockets, the Jazz may need to rely heavily on George's offensive contributions to keep pace, providing him more chances to reach a double-double.
  • β†’TREND: Over the last five games, George has experienced a rise in points per game to 26.2, showcasing his scoring ability that could complement his assists and rebounds toward a double-double.
  • β†’SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz currently holds a challenging record of 18-39, which could lead to increased urgency for players like George to step up in their roles, especially in a high-stakes game against a strong opponent like the Rockets.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2

πŸ”΄ Anti Agent Case

Conf: 96%

Evidence

  • β†’STATS: Keyonte George's recent averages show that despite scoring well with 26.2 points and 6.2 assists, he only averages 4.4 rebounds per game, which is significantly below the requirement for a double-double (10 in any two categories).
  • β†’MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets have a strong defensive capability, limiting opposing guards' scoring and assists, making it difficult for George to produce the necessary stats against a capable defense.
  • β†’NARRATIVE: Given the spread of Houston Rockets -13.5, the game script suggests that the Jazz may struggle to keep up, potentially limiting George's time on the court and thus his chances of accumulating a double-double.
  • β†’TREND: In Keyonte George's recent game performances, he has achieved a double-double only once in the last five games, indicating a trend of underperforming in this area, which is compounded by his limited rebounding.
  • β†’SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz are on a two-game losing streak with little momentum, and given their record (18-39), their overall performance level suggests that George may not benefit from close, competitive gameplay where he could rack up points and assists needed for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree

🟒 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 20%

Evidence

  • β†’STATS: Keyonte George has averaged 6.2 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game over his last five games, indicating he is close to achieving a double-double with his scoring and playmaking.
  • β†’MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are currently allowing a high pace of play, which typically results in more scoring opportunities and assists for the opposing teams, favoring George's potential to rack up double-digit stats.
  • β†’NARRATIVE: Given that the spread is set at a significant 13.5 points in favor of the Rockets, the Jazz may need to rely heavily on George's offensive contributions to keep pace, providing him more chances to reach a double-double.
  • β†’TREND: Over the last five games, George has experienced a rise in points per game to 26.2, showcasing his scoring ability that could complement his assists and rebounds toward a double-double.
  • β†’SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz currently holds a challenging record of 18-39, which could lead to increased urgency for players like George to step up in their roles, especially in a high-stakes game against a strong opponent like the Rockets.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2

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