Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Lauri Markkanen double double
💤 Noise Bet
+1800↓6%|+100
player double double
Lauri Markkanen double double
💤 Noise Bet
+1800↓6%|+100
player double double
41.70
Composite Score
+4.4%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
22.20
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In the matchup between the Jazz and Rockets, despite Lauri Markkanen's strong recent scoring and rebounding, the evidence suggests mixed outcomes for his potential to hit a double-double. The opposing analysis highlights Markkanen's average rebound and assist stats this season and concerns about limited opportunities due to a potential blowout in favor of the Rockets. With a final Net EV of only 0.04, the slight edge does not provide enough confidence to warrant a bet on this wager, especially with the narrative strongly leaning against achieving the double-double.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Lauri Markkanen has been averaging 10.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, which demonstrates his strong rebounding ability and increases the likelihood of achieving a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets have allowed over 65 rebounds in their recent games, suggesting a high-pace game where Markkanen can exploit the rebounding opportunities as the Jazz will likely be aggressive in securing boards.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the spread of Houston Rockets -13.5, a likely high-scoring game could allow Markkanen more field goal attempts, increasing his chances of scoring while contributing more to rebounds and assists, vital for a double-double.
- →TREND: Markkanen scored an impressive 26.8 points per game in his last 5 outings, showing he’s been effectively scoring and could maintain that scoring alongside securing rebounds for the double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Jazz have no injuries, and Markkanen is projected to get significant minutes (31.4 average), allowing him plenty of opportunities to accumulate the stats needed for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Lauri Markkanen averages only 5.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game this season, which means he would need to significantly exceed his typical performance to reach a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are ranked higher and have a better defensive record, which poses a tough challenge to Markkanen in both scoring and getting rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: With the large spread of 13.5 points, it is likely that the game may turn into a blowout, leading to Markkanen potentially seeing limited minutes and fewer opportunities to accumulate stats.
- →TREND: In his last 5 games, only once did Markkanen achieve 10 rebounds, and he has not recorded a double-double recently, indicating a struggle to meet performance thresholds.
- →SITUATIONAL: Playing against a playoff-bound team like the Houston Rockets with a strong focus on defense means Markkanen will face tougher matchups, limiting his contributions significantly.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Lauri Markkanen has been averaging 10.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, which demonstrates his strong rebounding ability and increases the likelihood of achieving a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets have allowed over 65 rebounds in their recent games, suggesting a high-pace game where Markkanen can exploit the rebounding opportunities as the Jazz will likely be aggressive in securing boards.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the spread of Houston Rockets -13.5, a likely high-scoring game could allow Markkanen more field goal attempts, increasing his chances of scoring while contributing more to rebounds and assists, vital for a double-double.
- →TREND: Markkanen scored an impressive 26.8 points per game in his last 5 outings, showing he’s been effectively scoring and could maintain that scoring alongside securing rebounds for the double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Jazz have no injuries, and Markkanen is projected to get significant minutes (31.4 average), allowing him plenty of opportunities to accumulate the stats needed for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
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