Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Cody Williams Over 13.5 points rebounds alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+290↓126%|+1390
player points rebounds alternate
Cody Williams Over 13.5 points rebounds alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+290↓126%|+1390
player points rebounds alternate
56.30
Composite Score
+17.5%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
80.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The bet on Cody Williams Over 13.5 points and rebounds aligns with a high-scoring game narrative, as both agents agree on the expectation of a fast-paced match with the Rockets favored by a significant margin. While he has struggled in recent games, the Jazz's poor defensive performance may present opportunities for Williams to exceed his averages, especially if he receives extended minutes in a potential blowout scenario. The Net EV of 0.17 indicates a slight edge in this wager being underpriced by the bookmaker, making it a reasonable choice for a lean bet.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams has a season average of 4.6 points per game, which is just above the 4.5 points threshold needed, indicating he has the capability to exceed this line.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are struggling this season with a 18-39 record and are currently on a 2-game losing streak, allowing for potential opportunities for opponents to score, which benefits Cody Williams' chances of exceeding the combined points and rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair as implied by the total of 228.5, which gives Williams more potential scoring and rebounding opportunities given the pace of the game.
- →TREND: In games against the Utah Jazz, Cody Williams recorded 2 rebounds in a game where he played 22 minutes, showing he can contribute effectively on the boards when given sufficient playing time.
- →SITUATIONAL: The large spread of Houston Rockets -13.5 indicates a likelihood of a strong performance from the Rockets, which could result in Williams getting extended minutes in a potential blowout scenario where he can pad his stats.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams has averaged only 3.0 points and 1.2 rebounds in his last five games, totaling 4.2 combined, which is below the 4.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: Facing the Houston Rockets, who rank highly on defense, particularly in limiting opposing forwards, presents a challenging matchup for Cody Williams to reach the required totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With a large spread of 13.5 points favoring the Rockets, there is a risk of a blowout, which could lead to Cody Williams being pulled earlier from the game, thus limiting his opportunities.
- →TREND: Recently, Cody has shown a noticeable decline in offensive output, contributing only 4.2 combined points and rebounds over the last five games, indicating a struggle to exceed the threshold.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Rockets are on a mission to secure their playoff position, putting additional pressure on their defense, which could hinder Williams' production opportunities while he is likely to play fewer minutes in a potential blowout situation.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams has a season average of 4.6 points per game, which is just above the 4.5 points threshold needed, indicating he has the capability to exceed this line.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are struggling this season with a 18-39 record and are currently on a 2-game losing streak, allowing for potential opportunities for opponents to score, which benefits Cody Williams' chances of exceeding the combined points and rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair as implied by the total of 228.5, which gives Williams more potential scoring and rebounding opportunities given the pace of the game.
- →TREND: In games against the Utah Jazz, Cody Williams recorded 2 rebounds in a game where he played 22 minutes, showing he can contribute effectively on the boards when given sufficient playing time.
- →SITUATIONAL: The large spread of Houston Rockets -13.5 indicates a likelihood of a strong performance from the Rockets, which could result in Williams getting extended minutes in a potential blowout scenario where he can pad his stats.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
Related Wagers
Brice Sensabaugh Over 24.5 points rebounds alternate💤
+519+73.3% EV
Amen Thompson Over 34.5 points rebounds alternate💤
+640+41.2% EV
Tari Eason Over 34.5 points rebounds alternate💤
+1020+36.5% EV
Kevin Durant Over 44.5 points rebounds alternate💤
+970+36.3% EV
Alperen Sengun Over 44.5 points rebounds alternate💤
+1020+35.8% EV
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available