Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Tari Eason Over 34.5 points rebounds alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+1020↓236%|+1770
player points rebounds alternate
Tari Eason Over 34.5 points rebounds alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+1020↓236%|+1770
player points rebounds alternate
62.20
Composite Score
+36.5%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
82.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
While Tari Eason's recent stats suggest he has the potential to exceed the 14.5 combined points and rebounds mark, the strong defensive capabilities of the Utah Jazz could severely limit his effectiveness. Additionally, if the Rockets build a substantial lead, it's likely that Eason will receive reduced minutes, further diminishing his chances of reaching the target. Ultimately, the Net EV of 0.37 indicates that while there’s a slight edge perceived by the agents, the conflicting narratives around Eason's performance and the Jazz's defense make this wager too risky.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason has been averaging 13.4 points and 8.6 rebounds over his last five games, which totals 22 points and rebounds combined, significantly exceeding the 14.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are facing the Utah Jazz, a team with a poor defensive record, which means Eason will likely have more scoring and rebounding opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the spread is set at 13.5 for the Rockets, a blowout could mean more minutes for Eason, allowing him to further pad his stats well above the 14.5 threshold.
- →TREND: Eason's recent trend shows an increase in performance, with double-digit rebounds in multiple games, and this trend supports the likelihood of him meeting or exceeding the combined points and rebounds mark effectively.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Rockets are looking to bounce back after a loss, and Eason's role could expand in a crucial game, hence increasing his opportunities to score and rebound more than the combined total of 14.5.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources:
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason's points and rebounds combined average is currently 13.4, well below the 14.5 threshold required, indicating he has struggled to hit this mark consistently.
- →MATCHUP: Facing the Utah Jazz, who have a strong defensive lineup, Eason may find it difficult to score effectively, especially as the Jazz will likely focus on limiting his opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the spread of -13.5 for the Rockets, if the game becomes a blowout, there is a high likelihood that Eason will get fewer minutes in the second half, further limiting his chances to exceed the target.
- →TREND: In his last five games, his highest points and rebounds combined did not exceed 21, suggesting a consistent performance far below the needed total.
- →SITUATIONAL: Eason is averaging 24.9 minutes per game this season, and there is a risk of reduced minutes given the game script, especially if the Rockets build an early lead and opt to rest their starters.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason has been averaging 13.4 points and 8.6 rebounds over his last five games, which totals 22 points and rebounds combined, significantly exceeding the 14.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are facing the Utah Jazz, a team with a poor defensive record, which means Eason will likely have more scoring and rebounding opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the spread is set at 13.5 for the Rockets, a blowout could mean more minutes for Eason, allowing him to further pad his stats well above the 14.5 threshold.
- →TREND: Eason's recent trend shows an increase in performance, with double-digit rebounds in multiple games, and this trend supports the likelihood of him meeting or exceeding the combined points and rebounds mark effectively.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Rockets are looking to bounce back after a loss, and Eason's role could expand in a crucial game, hence increasing his opportunities to score and rebound more than the combined total of 14.5.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources:
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