Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Tari Eason double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+356↓15%|+46
player double double
Tari Eason double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+356↓15%|+46
player double double
39.60
Composite Score
+0.2%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
1.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The analysis presents a balanced view on Tari Eason's chances of achieving a double-double against the Utah Jazz. While there are arguments supporting Eason's potential due to his recent performance trends and the Jazz's defensive inefficiency, the substantial risk of limited minutes due to a likely blowout in favor of the Rockets, coupled with Eason's inconsistency in reaching double digits in both categories, make this a risky wager. The Net EV of 0.00 indicates that the market pricing is likely correct, so passing on this bet is prudent given the conflicting narratives between the agents.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last five games, Tari Eason has averaged 8.6 rebounds, which is very close to the 10-rebound threshold needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are currently allowing a significant number of rebounds, as evidenced by their low standing, which creates an opportunity for Eason to capitalize on this defensive inefficiency.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the Houston Rockets are heavily favored with a spread of -13.5, they are likely to control the game, allowing Eason to play more minutes and have more opportunities to accumulate stats during a competitive lead.
- →TREND: Eason has consistently played around 30 minutes in his last games, with a ramp-up in productivity, particularly in rebounding; his average increase in both points and rebounds suggests he is trending positively toward achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Houston Rockets are coming off a loss and are in a playoff position, which they will want to solidify; this motivates the team, including Eason, to perform at higher levels as they look for a bounce-back win.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 80%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason's recent performance shows he is averaging 8.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists over his last five games, indicating a significant struggle to reach double-digits in both categories simultaneously.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are heavily favored in this matchup, indicated by the 13.5 spread, suggesting that Eason may not play significant minutes if the game turns into a blowout, reducing his chances of compiling stats.
- →NARRATIVE: As the game is projected to be high-scoring with a total of 228.5, it's possible that Eason's role can become more limited if fewer possessions occur, especially if the Rockets pull away early.
- →TREND: Eason has only achieved a double-double once in the last five games, despite seeing increased minutes and opportunities, reflecting inconsistency in his scoring and rebounding.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Rockets' strong position in the playoff race (4th seed) may result in them limiting Eason's minutes in a potential otherwise secure victory, negatively impacting his ability to reach double-digits in both points and rebounds.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last five games, Tari Eason has averaged 8.6 rebounds, which is very close to the 10-rebound threshold needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are currently allowing a significant number of rebounds, as evidenced by their low standing, which creates an opportunity for Eason to capitalize on this defensive inefficiency.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the Houston Rockets are heavily favored with a spread of -13.5, they are likely to control the game, allowing Eason to play more minutes and have more opportunities to accumulate stats during a competitive lead.
- →TREND: Eason has consistently played around 30 minutes in his last games, with a ramp-up in productivity, particularly in rebounding; his average increase in both points and rebounds suggests he is trending positively toward achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Houston Rockets are coming off a loss and are in a playoff position, which they will want to solidify; this motivates the team, including Eason, to perform at higher levels as they look for a bounce-back win.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
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