Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Tari Eason double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+375— stable
player double double
Tari Eason double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+375— stable
player double double
40.90
Composite Score
+0.9%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
4.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The bet on Tari Eason achieving a double-double is challenging due to the opposing narratives. While the pro analysis suggests he may benefit from increased playing time due to the Rockets' projected dominance, the anti analysis indicates that a potential blowout could limit his minutes and opportunities to reach the necessary stats. With a Net EV of only 0.01, indicating an insignificant edge, it's prudent to pass on this wager as it lacks the conviction needed for a confident play.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last five games, Tari Eason has averaged 8.6 rebounds, which is very close to the 10-rebound threshold needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are currently allowing a significant number of rebounds, as evidenced by their low standing, which creates an opportunity for Eason to capitalize on this defensive inefficiency.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the Houston Rockets are heavily favored with a spread of -13.5, they are likely to control the game, allowing Eason to play more minutes and have more opportunities to accumulate stats during a competitive lead.
- →TREND: Eason has consistently played around 30 minutes in his last games, with a ramp-up in productivity, particularly in rebounding; his average increase in both points and rebounds suggests he is trending positively toward achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Houston Rockets are coming off a loss and are in a playoff position, which they will want to solidify; this motivates the team, including Eason, to perform at higher levels as they look for a bounce-back win.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 80%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason's recent performance shows he is averaging 8.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists over his last five games, indicating a significant struggle to reach double-digits in both categories simultaneously.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are heavily favored in this matchup, indicated by the 13.5 spread, suggesting that Eason may not play significant minutes if the game turns into a blowout, reducing his chances of compiling stats.
- →NARRATIVE: As the game is projected to be high-scoring with a total of 228.5, it's possible that Eason's role can become more limited if fewer possessions occur, especially if the Rockets pull away early.
- →TREND: Eason has only achieved a double-double once in the last five games, despite seeing increased minutes and opportunities, reflecting inconsistency in his scoring and rebounding.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Rockets' strong position in the playoff race (4th seed) may result in them limiting Eason's minutes in a potential otherwise secure victory, negatively impacting his ability to reach double-digits in both points and rebounds.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last five games, Tari Eason has averaged 8.6 rebounds, which is very close to the 10-rebound threshold needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are currently allowing a significant number of rebounds, as evidenced by their low standing, which creates an opportunity for Eason to capitalize on this defensive inefficiency.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the Houston Rockets are heavily favored with a spread of -13.5, they are likely to control the game, allowing Eason to play more minutes and have more opportunities to accumulate stats during a competitive lead.
- →TREND: Eason has consistently played around 30 minutes in his last games, with a ramp-up in productivity, particularly in rebounding; his average increase in both points and rebounds suggests he is trending positively toward achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Houston Rockets are coming off a loss and are in a playoff position, which they will want to solidify; this motivates the team, including Eason, to perform at higher levels as they look for a bounce-back win.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available