Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Kyle Filipowski double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+210— stable
player double double
Kyle Filipowski double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+210— stable
player double double
33.30
Composite Score
-5.1%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
25.30
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The expected game script suggests that the Houston Rockets will dominate, likely limiting Filipowski's minutes and opportunities for a double-double given the projected spread of -13.5. Despite his recent rebounding averages and potential for high scoring in a fast-paced matchup, the reality of a likely blowout and his limited playing time creates significant risk. With a Net EV of -0.05, the evidence leans more towards overpricing this bet, making it prudent to avoid wagering on Filipowski's double-double.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 40%
Evidence
- →STATS: Filipowski has averaged 8.8 rebounds over his last 5 games, indicating he's on the cusp of achieving a double-double with consistent board numbers.
- →MATCHUP: The Rockets are a high-paced team, potentially allowing for more rebounding opportunities and higher scoring for Filipowski, especially as their defensive performance has been inconsistent.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of 13.5 in favor of the Rockets, it's likely that if the game becomes a shootout, Filipowski will get more minutes to keep up, increasing his chances for a double-double.
- →TREND: In games against the Jazz, Filipowski has demonstrated significant rebounding strength, notably recording 10+ rebounds in multiple encounters which suggests he can replicate such performance.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Jazz are currently on a 2-game losing streak, potentially leading to high minutes for a player like Filipowski as the team tries to find a spark in a high-pressure game against a strong Rockets squad.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Kyle Filipowski's recent averages of 12.8 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 1.4 assists indicate he is falling short of the double-double, as he would need significantly more assists to meet the requirement.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are statistically stronger, boasting a better record (34-21) and a strong defense, which will challenge Filipowski's ability to accumulate the necessary points and rebounds in this matchup.
- →NARRATIVE: With the projected spread of Houston Rockets -13.5 suggesting a likely blowout, Filipowski's minutes could be reduced significantly if the game gets out of hand, risking his ability to reach double digits in both points and rebounds.
- →TREND: Over the last five games, Filipowski has only achieved one double-double, indicating a trend of underperformance in terms of stats necessary to hit the double-double target.
- →SITUATIONAL: Filipowski has averaged only 21.1 minutes per game this season, limiting his opportunities to accumulate the required stats for a double-double, further complicated by the risk of limited playing time in a lopsided game.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 40%
Evidence
- →STATS: Filipowski has averaged 8.8 rebounds over his last 5 games, indicating he's on the cusp of achieving a double-double with consistent board numbers.
- →MATCHUP: The Rockets are a high-paced team, potentially allowing for more rebounding opportunities and higher scoring for Filipowski, especially as their defensive performance has been inconsistent.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of 13.5 in favor of the Rockets, it's likely that if the game becomes a shootout, Filipowski will get more minutes to keep up, increasing his chances for a double-double.
- →TREND: In games against the Jazz, Filipowski has demonstrated significant rebounding strength, notably recording 10+ rebounds in multiple encounters which suggests he can replicate such performance.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Jazz are currently on a 2-game losing streak, potentially leading to high minutes for a player like Filipowski as the team tries to find a spark in a high-pressure game against a strong Rockets squad.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
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