Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Jabari Smith Jr double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+440↑2%|-10
player double double
Jabari Smith Jr double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+440↑2%|-10
player double double
38.30
Composite Score
+0.8%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
4.20
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The game script suggests a potential blowout in favor of the Rockets, which typically results in reduced minutes for starters like Jabari Smith Jr. Despite his recent strong performances, the Anti Agent highlights his lack of assists and the possibility of limited playing time, which diminishes his likelihood of achieving a double-double. With a Net EV of 0.01, the bet does not provide a compelling case given the significant opposition from the Anti Agent's insights about game flow and Smith's season averages.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last 5 games, Jabari Smith Jr has averaged 10.0 rebounds, significantly above the 10-rebound threshold needed for a double-double, and recently scored 18.0 points per game, suggesting he is in strong scoring form.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are projected to dominate the Utah Jazz according to the spread of -13.5, meaning Jabari Smith Jr may see increased minutes and opportunities to rack up stats during a potential blowout.
- →NARRATIVE: The high game total of 228.5 suggests a fast-paced, high-scoring affair, which typically leads to increased statistics, including points and rebounds, for all players involved.
- →TREND: Jabari Smith Jr has recorded double-digit rebounds in 3 of his last 5 games, showing a trend of strong rebounding performance, along with consistent minutes played, averaging 40.8 minutes during that span.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Rockets are looking to bounce back from a recent loss, which may motivate players like Jabari Smith Jr to elevate their performance, particularly against a struggling Jazz team that has lost their last two games.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged only 7.0 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game this season; his average assists likewise falls short of the requirement for a double-double, indicating that reaching this milestone is unlikely.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are significant favorites (-13.5), suggesting a potential blowout scenario where starters, including Smith, may see reduced minutes due to garbage time restrictions.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game expected to be a lopsided affair, if Houston takes a substantial lead, Smith may not play his usual minutes, further hindering his chances of securing a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Smith has only achieved double digits in rebounds once and has not recorded more than 3 assists in any of those games, showing a lack of consistent form necessary for a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: Playing under the pressure of a large spread typically influences game dynamics, making it less likely for a player like Smith, on a winning team, to chase individual stats when already leading significantly.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last 5 games, Jabari Smith Jr has averaged 10.0 rebounds, significantly above the 10-rebound threshold needed for a double-double, and recently scored 18.0 points per game, suggesting he is in strong scoring form.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are projected to dominate the Utah Jazz according to the spread of -13.5, meaning Jabari Smith Jr may see increased minutes and opportunities to rack up stats during a potential blowout.
- →NARRATIVE: The high game total of 228.5 suggests a fast-paced, high-scoring affair, which typically leads to increased statistics, including points and rebounds, for all players involved.
- →TREND: Jabari Smith Jr has recorded double-digit rebounds in 3 of his last 5 games, showing a trend of strong rebounding performance, along with consistent minutes played, averaging 40.8 minutes during that span.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Rockets are looking to bounce back from a recent loss, which may motivate players like Jabari Smith Jr to elevate their performance, particularly against a struggling Jazz team that has lost their last two games.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
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