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Daniss Jenkins Under 10.5 points assists

💤 Noise Bet

-102— stable

player points assists

Daniss Jenkins Under 10.5 points assists

💤 Noise Bet

-102— stable

player points assists

36.70

Composite Score

+6.1%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

30.50

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

The bet on Daniss Jenkins Under 10.5 points and assists is not compelling given the current matchup with the Detroit Pistons. While Jenkins has shown limited production historically against this team and averages fewer assists, the higher game total and competitive spread indicate a potential for increased minutes that could boost his stats. The Net EV of 0.06, though slightly positive, does not provide enough edge to confidently lean on this wager considering the contrasting evidence regarding Jenkins' potential to exceed the threshold.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 30%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins has averaged only 2.4 assists per game over the last five games, which is well below the 10.5 threshold needed for this outcome.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are currently ranked as one of the top defensive teams, which likely limits Jenkins' potential for assists in a tightly contested game.
→NARRATIVE: With the game projected to be close given the spread of only -1.5, there is a higher likelihood that starters will play more minutes, yet Jenkins may not see significant minutes due to his past limited role.
→TREND: In his last five games against the Pistons, Jenkins has not scored more than 2 assists, reflecting a trend of underperformance against this opponent.
→SITUATIONAL: Jenkins plays limited minutes, averaging just 13 minutes in the last five games against the Pistons, which drastically reduces his opportunity to exceed the 10.5 assists mark.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 10%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins has averaged 2.4 assists in his last 5 games, which puts him well over the 10.5 points/assists mark given potential increased playing time.
→MATCHUP: The matchup against the Detroit Pistons features a high game total of 232.5, suggesting an up-tempo game that typically leads to more assists.
→NARRATIVE: With the spread at a close 1.5, the game is expected to remain competitive, allowing Jenkins to play extended minutes, which can boost his assist count.
→TREND: Jenkins is trending upwards in performance, averaging 5.4 points in his last games, indicating an increase in offensive involvement that can translate to more assists.
→SITUATIONAL: The San Antonio Spurs are on an 8-game winning streak, indicating strong team momentum that could result in enhanced ball movement and assist opportunities for Jenkins.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 30%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins has averaged only 2.4 assists per game over the last five games, which is well below the 10.5 threshold needed for this outcome.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are currently ranked as one of the top defensive teams, which likely limits Jenkins' potential for assists in a tightly contested game.
→NARRATIVE: With the game projected to be close given the spread of only -1.5, there is a higher likelihood that starters will play more minutes, yet Jenkins may not see significant minutes due to his past limited role.
→TREND: In his last five games against the Pistons, Jenkins has not scored more than 2 assists, reflecting a trend of underperformance against this opponent.
→SITUATIONAL: Jenkins plays limited minutes, averaging just 13 minutes in the last five games against the Pistons, which drastically reduces his opportunity to exceed the 10.5 assists mark.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

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