Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Over 42.5 points rebounds alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+490↓145%|+1590

player points rebounds alternate

Cade Cunningham Over 42.5 points rebounds alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+490↓145%|+1590

player points rebounds alternate

63.00

Composite Score

+34.5%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

85.00

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

In the upcoming game between the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons, I expect a high-scoring affair, which aligns well with Cunningham's potential to exceed the 42.5 points and rebounds total. The evidence shows that Cunningham is currently averaging 26.1 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, and the Spurs' defense has struggled, allowing 115 points per game. The high game total of 232.5 further supports the likelihood of him achieving this mark, justifying the trust in the Net EV of 0.34, indicating he is underpriced in the market.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham is averaging 26.1 points and 6.1 rebounds this season, comfortably surpassing the 22.5 threshold by over 9 points on average.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs have allowed an average of 115 points per game this season, contributing to a high-scoring environment where Cunningham can thrive.
→NARRATIVE: With a game total of 232.5, this matchup indicates a high-scoring affair, allowing both teams' star players, including Cunningham, to perform significantly above average.
→TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham has averaged 24.2 points while adding around 6.2 rebounds, consistently scoring above the 22.5 combined points and rebounds mark.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons enter this matchup on a five-game winning streak and are solid in their offensive execution, which suggests Cunningham will see heavy usage and play significant minutes against the Spurs.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 75%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham's recent performance shows he only averaged 24.2 points in his last five games, which is close but below the required 22.5 points alone when combined with rebounds.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are currently one of the top defensive teams in the league, which could limit Cunningham’s scoring opportunities, particularly in combination with his rebounding.
→NARRATIVE: Given the small spread of the game (Detroit Pistons -1.5), it suggests a competitive match rather than a blowout, likely keeping the game's score lower and reducing the chances for Cunningham to hit a high points-rebounds total.
→TREND: In previous matchups this season, Cunningham has struggled against playoff-contending teams like the Spurs, with less than 22.5 total points and rebounds combined in multiple games against similarly high-ranked opponents.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons are on a five-game winning streak, which may lead to a more conservative game plan; they may prioritize ball control, reducing Cunningham’s opportunities to accumulate high stats.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham is averaging 26.1 points and 6.1 rebounds this season, comfortably surpassing the 22.5 threshold by over 9 points on average.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs have allowed an average of 115 points per game this season, contributing to a high-scoring environment where Cunningham can thrive.
→NARRATIVE: With a game total of 232.5, this matchup indicates a high-scoring affair, allowing both teams' star players, including Cunningham, to perform significantly above average.
→TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham has averaged 24.2 points while adding around 6.2 rebounds, consistently scoring above the 22.5 combined points and rebounds mark.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons enter this matchup on a five-game winning streak and are solid in their offensive execution, which suggests Cunningham will see heavy usage and play significant minutes against the Spurs.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

+310+61.3% EV

Harrison Barnes Over 14.5 points rebounds alternate🚀

+225+56.3% EV

Victor Wembanyama Over 49.5 points rebounds alternate💤

+1060+40.1% EV

Ausar Thompson Over 24.5 points rebounds alternate💤

+1000+39.3% EV

Devin Vassell Over 24.5 points rebounds alternate💤

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