Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Dylan Harper Over 18.5 points rebounds alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+310↓141%|+1060

player points rebounds alternate

Dylan Harper Over 18.5 points rebounds alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+310↓141%|+1060

player points rebounds alternate

74.00

Composite Score

+61.3%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

90.00

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

This is a strong bet on Dylan Harper Over 18.5 combined points and rebounds given the expectation of a high-scoring game with a total of 232.5 points, which should create numerous opportunities for offensive contributions. Harper's upward trend in production, averaging 14.4 combined in his last five games, combined with the competitive nature of this matchup, enhances his chances of exceeding the threshold. The Net EV of 0.61 indicates that the market may have undervalued this bet, making it a strong proposition given the favorable game script.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 85%

Evidence

→STATS: Dylan Harper has averaged 10.8 points per game and 3.6 rebounds in his last five games, bringing his combined P+R to 14.4, comfortably above the 7.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The game features a high total of 232.5 points, indicating a fast-paced environment that typically leads to more scoring opportunities for players.
→NARRATIVE: With both teams in strong form and competitive, expect higher minutes for Harper, especially if the game remains close, as close games lead to more significant stats for starters.
→TREND: Over the last five games, Harper has shown notable improvement, achieving 4 or more rebounds in multiple games, signaling a positive upward trend in his performance.
→SITUATIONAL: Both the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons are on winning streaks, which could lead to an intense and high-energy game, further increasing the likelihood of players hitting their points and rebounds totals.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: authoritative_player_stats, authoritative_team_data

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 0%

Evidence

→STATS: Dylan Harper's last 5 games show an average of only 3.6 rebounds per game, which is significantly below the 7.5 threshold when combined with his scoring.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs have been defensively strong, particularly against guards, limiting their scoring opportunities and affecting Harper's overall output in points and rebounds.
→NARRATIVE: With both teams having strong records and a close spread, the game is expected to be competitive, likely resulting in high-performing players taking most of the shots, thereby limiting Harper's opportunities.
→TREND: Harper's performance shows inconsistency; in matchups against the Spurs, he has scored a maximum of only 4 rebounds in the last three meetings, suggesting he struggles to exceed the combined total of 7.5 on a consistent basis.
→SITUATIONAL: With the Spurs on an 8-game winning streak, their defensive intensity and focus may not allow Harper the same level of freedom he might see against weaker teams, making it harder for him to reach the 7.5 combined points and rebounds.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 85%

Evidence

→STATS: Dylan Harper has averaged 10.8 points per game and 3.6 rebounds in his last five games, bringing his combined P+R to 14.4, comfortably above the 7.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The game features a high total of 232.5 points, indicating a fast-paced environment that typically leads to more scoring opportunities for players.
→NARRATIVE: With both teams in strong form and competitive, expect higher minutes for Harper, especially if the game remains close, as close games lead to more significant stats for starters.
→TREND: Over the last five games, Harper has shown notable improvement, achieving 4 or more rebounds in multiple games, signaling a positive upward trend in his performance.
→SITUATIONAL: Both the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons are on winning streaks, which could lead to an intense and high-energy game, further increasing the likelihood of players hitting their points and rebounds totals.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: authoritative_player_stats, authoritative_team_data

+225+56.3% EV

Victor Wembanyama Over 49.5 points rebounds alternate💤

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Ausar Thompson Over 24.5 points rebounds alternate💤

+1000+39.3% EV

Devin Vassell Over 24.5 points rebounds alternate💤

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Cade Cunningham Over 44.5 points rebounds alternate🚀

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