Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Over 44.5 points rebounds alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+561↓122%|+3161

player points rebounds alternate

Cade Cunningham Over 44.5 points rebounds alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+561↓122%|+3161

player points rebounds alternate

63.00

Composite Score

+37.4%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

85.00

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

This wager makes sense as it aligns with the expectation of a high-scoring game between the Spurs and Pistons, where the total is set at 232.5. Cade Cunningham's recent form and the favorable matchup against a Spurs team that struggles to defend guards suggests he has strong opportunities to exceed the combined threshold of 44.5 points and rebounds. The Net EV of 0.37 indicates that this bet is underpriced by the bookmaker, reinforcing its value given the competitive game context.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 85%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham has averaged 24.2 points over the last five games, which is very close to the threshold, suggesting he can reach or exceed it with slight improvements.
→MATCHUP: The Spurs have allowed a higher average of points to opposing guards this season, which could benefit Cunningham's scoring opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: With the game total set at 232.5, high-scoring is expected, creating an environment conducive for Cunningham to accumulate more points and rebounds.
→TREND: Cunningham has demonstrated strong recent form, averaging 6.2 rebounds per game in the last five outings, indicating he can contribute significantly in both scoring and rebounding.
→SITUATIONAL: The close spread of -1.5 for Detroit Pistons suggests a competitive game where Cunningham is likely to play heavy minutes (35+), increasing his chances to surpass the 24.5 threshold.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 70%

Evidence

→STATS: In his last 5 games, Cade Cunningham averages only 24.2 points, which is below the threshold of 24.5 points when combined with rebounds.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs have a strong defensive presence, currently ranked in the top half of the league, making it difficult for opposing players like Cunningham to have high-scoring games.
→NARRATIVE: The game is expected to be competitive with a small spread of -1.5 for the Pistons, which may result in a more methodical pace, limiting Cunningham’s scoring opportunities.
→TREND: In recent games against strong defensive teams, Cunningham has struggled to reach higher point totals, as evidenced by his performance against the Celtics (4 points) when facing a top defense.
→SITUATIONAL: The back-and-forth nature of the schedule with both teams on winning streaks may escalate the intensity, leading to tighter defensive matchups and potentially limiting Cunningham's overall output.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: ESPN API, Feature Factory

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 85%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham has averaged 24.2 points over the last five games, which is very close to the threshold, suggesting he can reach or exceed it with slight improvements.
→MATCHUP: The Spurs have allowed a higher average of points to opposing guards this season, which could benefit Cunningham's scoring opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: With the game total set at 232.5, high-scoring is expected, creating an environment conducive for Cunningham to accumulate more points and rebounds.
→TREND: Cunningham has demonstrated strong recent form, averaging 6.2 rebounds per game in the last five outings, indicating he can contribute significantly in both scoring and rebounding.
→SITUATIONAL: The close spread of -1.5 for Detroit Pistons suggests a competitive game where Cunningham is likely to play heavy minutes (35+), increasing his chances to surpass the 24.5 threshold.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

+310+61.3% EV

Harrison Barnes Over 14.5 points rebounds alternate🚀

+225+56.3% EV

Victor Wembanyama Over 49.5 points rebounds alternate💤

+1060+40.1% EV

Ausar Thompson Over 24.5 points rebounds alternate💤

+1000+39.3% EV

Devin Vassell Over 24.5 points rebounds alternate💤

+1020+39.2% EV