Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Devin Vassell Over 21.5 points rebounds assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+290↓132%|+1190

player points rebounds assists alternate

Devin Vassell Over 21.5 points rebounds assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+290↓132%|+1190

player points rebounds assists alternate

58.70

Composite Score

+23.4%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

80.00

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

This wager on Devin Vassell Over 21.5 points, rebounds, and assists aligns with an expected high-scoring game, as indicated by the 232.5 point total and the Spurs facing a Pistons team that allows a high pace of play. The evidence shows Vassell's recent performance is strong, averaging 23.2 combined, and the competitive nature of the matchup suggests he will play significant minutes, increasing his opportunities to exceed the total. The positive Net EV of 0.23 indicates that this bet is underpriced by the bookmaker, making it a solid choice.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Devin Vassell is averaging 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists over the last 5 games, totaling 23.2 when combined, well above the 9.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are facing the Detroit Pistons, who have allowed a high pace of play, which typically leads to increased opportunities for scoring and rebounds for players on the Spurs.
→NARRATIVE: With both teams having strong winning streaks (Spurs at 8 and Pistons at 5), the expected competitive nature of the game should lead to Vassell playing significant minutes, as close games tend to keep starters on the floor longer.
→TREND: Vassell's recent performance indicates a strong upward trend, scoring double digits in his last five games, suggesting consistency in exceeding 9.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined.
→SITUATIONAL: The game total is set at a high 232.5, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring encounter, which further supports the likelihood of Vassell exceeding the combined threshold of 9.5.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 85%

Evidence

→STATS: Devin Vassell's last 5 games average only 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists, which total to 23.2; however, his assists per game are close to 3, meaning he often does not contribute significantly across all three categories.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are known for their strong defense, particularly against scoring guards, which could limit Vassell's point total and subsequently affect his rebounds and assists.
→NARRATIVE: Since both teams are competitive, a close game is expected. This might lead to heightened defensive efforts from both sides, reducing Vassell's opportunities to score and assist effectively.
→TREND: Vassell has only surpassed the combined threshold of 9.5 points, rebounds, and assists in 2 of his last 5 games. This declining trend raises doubts about his ability to reach above this total consistently.
→SITUATIONAL: With a high total of 232.5, while it suggests offense, it can also lead to a pace where his teammates have higher involvement, reducing Vassell's share in scoring, rebounding, or assists during crucial possessions.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Devin Vassell is averaging 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists over the last 5 games, totaling 23.2 when combined, well above the 9.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are facing the Detroit Pistons, who have allowed a high pace of play, which typically leads to increased opportunities for scoring and rebounds for players on the Spurs.
→NARRATIVE: With both teams having strong winning streaks (Spurs at 8 and Pistons at 5), the expected competitive nature of the game should lead to Vassell playing significant minutes, as close games tend to keep starters on the floor longer.
→TREND: Vassell's recent performance indicates a strong upward trend, scoring double digits in his last five games, suggesting consistency in exceeding 9.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined.
→SITUATIONAL: The game total is set at a high 232.5, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring encounter, which further supports the likelihood of Vassell exceeding the combined threshold of 9.5.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

+1060+43.1% EV

Stephon Castle Over 39.5 points rebounds assists alternate💤

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