SAL 9000
SAL 9000
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Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Devin Vassell Over 24.5 points rebounds assists alternate

๐Ÿ’ค Noise Bet
+660โ†“167%|+1650
player points rebounds assists alternate

Devin Vassell Over 24.5 points rebounds assists alternate

๐Ÿ’ค Noise Bet
+660โ†“167%|+1650
player points rebounds assists alternate
63.70
Composite Score
+35.7%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
87.50
Market Divergence

๐Ÿงช SAL's Synthesis

This bet on Devin Vassell going Over 24.5 combined stats makes sense given the expected high-scoring game environment against the Detroit Pistons, who typically allow for more player stats in fast-paced matchups. Vassell is likely to receive a significant amount of playing time due to the competitiveness of the game, providing ample opportunity to exceed the combined points, rebounds, and assists threshold. The Net EV of 0.36 indicates strong value, as it suggests the market underpriced this wager based on leveraging Vassell's upward trending performance and favorable match conditions.

๐ŸŸข Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

  • โ†’STATS: Devin Vassell averages 16.3 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game, totaling 23.2 combined stats, which easily surpasses the 9.5 threshold.
  • โ†’MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are facing the Detroit Pistons, a matchup that has the potential for high scoring given the game total of 232.5, indicating a fast-paced game conducive to more stats.
  • โ†’NARRATIVE: With both teams in strong form and a narrow spread, we can expect a competitive game, likely leading to Vassell playing 35-40 minutes, thus increasing his opportunities to exceed the combined stats threshold.
  • โ†’TREND: In the last five games, Vassell has hit an average of 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists while playing around 31 minutes, suggesting he is consistently performing well above 9.5 combined in the current stretch.
  • โ†’SITUATIONAL: The Spurs are on an 8-game winning streak, providing momentum and confidence, which bodes well for Vassell's performance as teams typically elevate their play during winning streaks.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nba.com

๐Ÿ”ด Anti Agent Case

Conf: 80%

Evidence

  • โ†’STATS: Devin Vassell's recent averages yield 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists, totaling 23.2 but he has not consistently reached this threshold against challenging defenses.
  • โ†’MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons rank among the top defensive teams this season, likely limiting Vassell's opportunities in points, rebounds, and assists, thereby making it difficult for him to surpass the 9.5 threshold.
  • โ†’NARRATIVE: With both teams having high win records, a competitive game script could lead to fewer minutes for Vassell in case of a tight score, reducing his overall contributions.
  • โ†’TREND: In Vassell's last five games, he has scored 15 or fewer points in two contests and has recorded fewer than 10 combined rebounds and assists in three of those games, showing inconsistent performance.
  • โ†’SITUATIONAL: Both teams are on winning streaks, which could lead to a more competitive and closely contested game, potentially taking away minutes from Vassell and limiting his output.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nba.com

๐ŸŸข Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

  • โ†’STATS: Devin Vassell averages 16.3 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game, totaling 23.2 combined stats, which easily surpasses the 9.5 threshold.
  • โ†’MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are facing the Detroit Pistons, a matchup that has the potential for high scoring given the game total of 232.5, indicating a fast-paced game conducive to more stats.
  • โ†’NARRATIVE: With both teams in strong form and a narrow spread, we can expect a competitive game, likely leading to Vassell playing 35-40 minutes, thus increasing his opportunities to exceed the combined stats threshold.
  • โ†’TREND: In the last five games, Vassell has hit an average of 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists while playing around 31 minutes, suggesting he is consistently performing well above 9.5 combined in the current stretch.
  • โ†’SITUATIONAL: The Spurs are on an 8-game winning streak, providing momentum and confidence, which bodes well for Vassell's performance as teams typically elevate their play during winning streaks.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nba.com

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