Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Dylan Harper Over 23.5 points rebounds assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+390↓135%|+1490

player points rebounds assists alternate

Dylan Harper Over 23.5 points rebounds assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+390↓135%|+1490

player points rebounds assists alternate

64.50

Composite Score

+31.9%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

90.00

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

The game between the Spurs and Pistons is expected to be fast-paced with a high total of 232.5, favoring increased opportunities for individual player stats. Dylan Harper's role is significant here, as he benefits from heavy minutes in competitive matchups, and recent trends suggest he has been performing well enough to potentially exceed the combined threshold of 23.5 points, rebounds, and assists. The positive Net EV score of 0.32 reflects that the market undervalues Harper's chances with respect to the supportive game script and his recent performance.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 92%

Evidence

→STATS: Dylan Harper averages 10.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game, providing a solid foundation for exceeding the total of 9.5 when these numbers are summed.
→MATCHUP: The high game total of 232.5 indicates a fast-paced game, which often leads to increased opportunities for player statistics, favoring Harper achieving the over on points, rebounds, and assists.
→NARRATIVE: The close spread of -1.5 favors a competitive matchup, meaning Harper is likely to see heavy minutes, allowing him to accumulate higher stats as both teams will be pushing for the win.
→TREND: Harper's recent performance shows consistent scoring and playmaking, with over 8 combined points and assists in each of his last three games which prepares him to continue this trend against the Pistons.
→SITUATIONAL: The Spurs and Pistons have both been in excellent form, with the Spurs on an 8-game winning streak, which suggests a high-energy matchup that could increase each player's overall contributions, including Harper's.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: ESPN, Feature Factory

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 80%

Evidence

→STATS: Dylan Harper's recent averages show he only contributes 3.2 assists, 3.6 rebounds, and averages 10.8 points per game, making it likely that he will not reach the combined threshold of 9.5 points, rebounds, and assists.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are currently one of the top defensive teams in the league, historically limiting guard production, which is expected to make it difficult for Harper to amass enough cumulative stats to exceed the 9.5 mark.
→NARRATIVE: Given the strong performance of both teams, it's likely that this game may be fast-paced, but with defensive efforts, particularly from the Spurs, Harper may struggle to convert possession into meaningful stats.
→TREND: In his last 5 games, Harper has only exceeded the 9.5 total once, thus reflecting a trend of lower performance that does not support the likelihood of surpassing his average given the upcoming matchup.
→SITUATIONAL: Harper has had varied minutes in recent games, including a game against San Antonio where he played only 16 minutes, which could indicate limited usage going into this matchup where he may not get adequate time to accumulate stats.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 92%

Evidence

→STATS: Dylan Harper averages 10.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game, providing a solid foundation for exceeding the total of 9.5 when these numbers are summed.
→MATCHUP: The high game total of 232.5 indicates a fast-paced game, which often leads to increased opportunities for player statistics, favoring Harper achieving the over on points, rebounds, and assists.
→NARRATIVE: The close spread of -1.5 favors a competitive matchup, meaning Harper is likely to see heavy minutes, allowing him to accumulate higher stats as both teams will be pushing for the win.
→TREND: Harper's recent performance shows consistent scoring and playmaking, with over 8 combined points and assists in each of his last three games which prepares him to continue this trend against the Pistons.
→SITUATIONAL: The Spurs and Pistons have both been in excellent form, with the Spurs on an 8-game winning streak, which suggests a high-energy matchup that could increase each player's overall contributions, including Harper's.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: ESPN, Feature Factory

+1060+43.1% EV

Stephon Castle Over 39.5 points rebounds assists alternate💤

+1100+39.7% EV

Devin Vassell Over 24.5 points rebounds assists alternate💤

+660+35.7% EV

Dylan Harper Over 24.5 points rebounds assists alternate🚀

+531+34.7% EV

Cade Cunningham Over 59.5 points rebounds assists alternate💤

+1300+30.6% EV