Back to Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Jamal Murray double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+561↓21%|+98
player double double
Jamal Murray double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+561↓21%|+98
player double double
41.00
Composite Score
+3.9%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
14.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The anticipated game script suggests a fast-paced matchup, which could create statistical opportunities for Jamal Murray to achieve a double-double. However, the strong defensive frontcourt of the Thunder and Murray’s recent performance, with only one double-double in his last five games, raise concerns about his ability to reach both assists and rebounds in significant numbers. The Net EV of 0.04 indicates a slight edge but doesn’t provide enough confidence to justify the bet given the conflicting evidence from both agents about Murray's form and the matchup dynamics.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Jamal Murray has been averaging 6.8 assists and 3.2 rebounds over his last five games, placing him in a strong position to achieve a double-double given his scoring output of 27.0 points.
- →MATCHUP: The Oklahoma City Thunder have shown susceptibility to high-scoring guards this season, which aligns well with Murray's scoring capabilities, suggesting he will not only score but also create opportunities for rebounds and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high total of 233.5 expected for this matchup, the game is projected to be fast-paced, allowing Murray more opportunities to accumulate points, assists, and boards, which enhances his double-double chances.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Murray has played an average of 35.6 minutes, indicating he is heavily utilized and has the chance to accumulate more stats across the board, critical for achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Denver Nuggets are playing with no reported injuries, which means their lineup is stable and competitive against the top-seeded Thunder, pushing Murray into a role where his contributions will be vital.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 85%
Evidence
- →STATS: Jamal Murray's recent averages indicate a challenge for a double-double, as he has only averaged 3.2 rebounds and 6.8 assists over his last five games, meaning he would need to significantly increase his rebounding performance to reach double digits in that category.
- →MATCHUP: The Oklahoma City Thunder have a strong defensive frontcourt, limiting opposing guards and making it difficult for players like Murray to secure rebounds, which is crucial for achieving a double-double.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game spread favoring the Thunder by 8 points, this may lead to a game script where Colorado may struggle, potentially pulling Murray from the game early due to a blowout scenario, reducing his chances of reaching a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Murray has only achieved one double-double, which speaks to a trend of underperformance in terms of accumulating both rebounds and assists in a single game consistently.
- →SITUATIONAL: The high total of 233.5 suggests a fast-paced game; however, the large spread also means that the Nuggets may not be competitive throughout, risking fewer minutes for Murray if the game gets out of hand, diminishing his opportunity for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Jamal Murray has been averaging 6.8 assists and 3.2 rebounds over his last five games, placing him in a strong position to achieve a double-double given his scoring output of 27.0 points.
- →MATCHUP: The Oklahoma City Thunder have shown susceptibility to high-scoring guards this season, which aligns well with Murray's scoring capabilities, suggesting he will not only score but also create opportunities for rebounds and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high total of 233.5 expected for this matchup, the game is projected to be fast-paced, allowing Murray more opportunities to accumulate points, assists, and boards, which enhances his double-double chances.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Murray has played an average of 35.6 minutes, indicating he is heavily utilized and has the chance to accumulate more stats across the board, critical for achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Denver Nuggets are playing with no reported injuries, which means their lineup is stable and competitive against the top-seeded Thunder, pushing Murray into a role where his contributions will be vital.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available