Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
G.G. Jackson Over 4.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+670↓478%|+554
player assists alternate
G.G. Jackson Over 4.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+670↓478%|+554
player assists alternate
47.80
Composite Score
+22.8%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
80.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In a game expected to be high-scoring with a total of 238.5, G.G. Jackson's role is likely to expand as the Grizzlies look to maintain offensive flow against a Mavericks team that has struggled defensively. With Jackson's minutes increasing to 21.8 and the lack of playoff implications allowing for a freer game pace, he should have ample opportunity to notch more than 4.5 assists. The Net EV score of 0.23 reinforces this perspective, suggesting the bet may be a bit undervalued in the current market.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 65%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson's average assists per game has consistently been 1.0 over the last 5 games, and with increased playing time averaging 21.8 minutes, he has the opportunity to create more plays.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies are facing the Dallas Mavericks, a team that has struggled to defend ball movement, which may lead to Jackson having more opportunities to distribute the ball effectively.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high game total of 238.5, a competitive and high-scoring environment is anticipated, suggesting that G.G. Jackson will be involved more offensively, leading to higher assist potential.
- →TREND: Jackson's minutes have notably increased to 21.8 recently compared to his season average of 15.8, indicating that he is likely to have more chances to record assists in this game.
- →SITUATIONAL: Both teams are out of playoff contention, potentially leading to a fast-paced game as they seek to play freely. This should allow G.G. Jackson to contribute more to the offensive flow, increasing his assist chances.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson's season average for assists per game is only 1.0, and in the last 5 games, he has maintained that average, making it statistically unlikely he will exceed 2.5 assists.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have a strong defensive lineup, particularly against forwards, which could limit Jackson's opportunities to facilitate scoring plays.
- →NARRATIVE: In a game expected to be competitive with a close spread of Dallas Mavericks -4.0, G.G. Jackson may not see enough offensive opportunities to accrue multiple assists as the game script will likely favor other primary ball handlers.
- →TREND: Jackson has consistently underperformed with assists, averaging 1.0 throughout his last five games with no signs of improvement, indicating he has not adapted to increasing his assist totals.
- →SITUATIONAL: G.G. Jackson's minutes in the last few games have fluctuated, averaging only 21.8 minutes in the last 5, limiting his chances to generate assists as his playing time does not support a high assist total.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 65%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson's average assists per game has consistently been 1.0 over the last 5 games, and with increased playing time averaging 21.8 minutes, he has the opportunity to create more plays.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies are facing the Dallas Mavericks, a team that has struggled to defend ball movement, which may lead to Jackson having more opportunities to distribute the ball effectively.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high game total of 238.5, a competitive and high-scoring environment is anticipated, suggesting that G.G. Jackson will be involved more offensively, leading to higher assist potential.
- →TREND: Jackson's minutes have notably increased to 21.8 recently compared to his season average of 15.8, indicating that he is likely to have more chances to record assists in this game.
- →SITUATIONAL: Both teams are out of playoff contention, potentially leading to a fast-paced game as they seek to play freely. This should allow G.G. Jackson to contribute more to the offensive flow, increasing his assist chances.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available