Sam Hauser Over 0.5 blocks

💤 Noise Bet

+225— stable

player blocks

Sam Hauser Over 0.5 blocks

💤 Noise Bet

+225— stable

player blocks

30.60

Composite Score

-2.0%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

8.10

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Given the game's expected narrative where the Boston Celtics are favored heavily and could dominate early, this presents a risk for Sam Hauser to play fewer minutes, which would limit his opportunities to achieve over 0.5 blocks. Additionally, the anti-agent's assessment highlights Hauser's season average of only 0.2 blocks per game, suggesting that despite recent trends, his overall ability to achieve this mark consistently remains low against a struggling Nets offense. The final Net EV of -0.02 indicates that the market's price aligns with our analysis, making this wager untrustworthy.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 40%

Evidence

→STATS: Sam Hauser has averaged 0.6 blocks per game over his last 5 games, indicating he has the ability to exceed 0.5 blocks consistently.
→MATCHUP: The Boston Celtics are likely to dominate the offensive boards against the Brooklyn Nets, which may create additional shot-blocking opportunities for Hauser if he is playing against less dominant forwards.
→NARRATIVE: Given the Boston Celtics' large spread of -18.0, the game script suggests that they may control the game early, leading to increased defensive pressure and block opportunities for players like Hauser.
→TREND: Hauser recorded 1.0 blocks against the Milwaukee Bucks and 2.0 blocks against the Toronto Raptors in his last two games, showcasing an upward trend in his shot-blocking capabilities.
→SITUATIONAL: With the Celtics currently on a loss streak of 1 game and looking to bounce back against a struggling Nets team (L6), the Celtics' intensity on defense is likely to increase, giving Hauser more chances to contribute defensively.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 80%

Evidence

→STATS: Sam Hauser's season average for blocks is only 0.2 per game, and even in his last 5 games, he has only averaged 0.6 blocks, not consistently exceeding 0.5.
→MATCHUP: The Boston Celtics are facing the Brooklyn Nets, a team that has struggled offensively, meaning fewer scoring opportunities and potential blocks for Hauser against them.
→NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of 18.0 in favor of the Celtics, there is a significant risk of a blowout meaning Hauser may play fewer minutes, hindering his chance to achieve over 0.5 blocks.
→TREND: In his last game against the Celtics, Hauser recorded 0 blocks, showing a pattern of underperformance against this specific opponent.
→SITUATIONAL: With the Celtics positioned for a playoff run, they may rest key players or limit minutes in a potential blowout scenario, reducing Hauser's time on the court and his chances to record blocks.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 40%

Evidence

→STATS: Sam Hauser has averaged 0.6 blocks per game over his last 5 games, indicating he has the ability to exceed 0.5 blocks consistently.
→MATCHUP: The Boston Celtics are likely to dominate the offensive boards against the Brooklyn Nets, which may create additional shot-blocking opportunities for Hauser if he is playing against less dominant forwards.
→NARRATIVE: Given the Boston Celtics' large spread of -18.0, the game script suggests that they may control the game early, leading to increased defensive pressure and block opportunities for players like Hauser.
→TREND: Hauser recorded 1.0 blocks against the Milwaukee Bucks and 2.0 blocks against the Toronto Raptors in his last two games, showcasing an upward trend in his shot-blocking capabilities.
→SITUATIONAL: With the Celtics currently on a loss streak of 1 game and looking to bounce back against a struggling Nets team (L6), the Celtics' intensity on defense is likely to increase, giving Hauser more chances to contribute defensively.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2