Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Cody Williams Over 14.5 points rebounds assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+225↓116%|+1625
player points rebounds assists alternate
Cody Williams Over 14.5 points rebounds assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+225↓116%|+1625
player points rebounds assists alternate
57.40
Composite Score
+18.3%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
82.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In a matchup against the struggling Utah Jazz, Cody Williams has a favorable opportunity to exceed 14.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists due to their poor defensive play, which could lead to increased scoring chances. Despite recent struggles, the narrative of a likely high-scoring game bodes well for Williams, particularly given the anticipated game script with the Rockets favored by 13.5 points. The Net EV of 0.18 indicates that the bookmaker may have undervalued this line, making it a solid opportunity to capitalize on during a potentially lopsided contest.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 93%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams is averaging 4.6 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game, which totals to 8.1 combined points, rebounds, and assists, significantly exceeding the 5.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are struggling defensively, allowing a high pace and ample scoring opportunities, which favors increased production for Williams.
- →NARRATIVE: With the spread at Houston Rockets -13.5, a high-scoring game is expected, leading to more opportunities for Williams to contribute statistically as the game progresses.
- →TREND: Over the last 5 games, while Williams' individual stats may appear lower, he has had games where he contributed significantly when on the court for longer periods, indicating potential for increased contributions against weaker defenses.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz are currently on a losing streak and ranked 13th in the conference, suggesting that they are likely to struggle, which could lead to an increased workload for Williams in competitive or garbage time situations.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams has averaged just 3.0 points, 1.2 rebounds, and 1.0 assists over the last 5 games, totaling only 5.4 combined points, rebounds, and assists, which puts him below the 5.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are facing off against the Houston Rockets who have a strong defense, ranking higher in defensive efficiency, which could limit Williams' scoring and assisting opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: With the spread being large at 13.5 points, this game could turn into a blowout, meaning Williams may not play significant minutes if the Rockets take an early commanding lead.
- →TREND: Recently, Williams has consistently underperformed his average, not surpassing the combined total of 5.5 in 4 of the last 5 games, indicating a concerning trend away from hitting this benchmark.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Jazz are on a two-game losing streak and struggling overall this season, leading to potential shifts in strategy that may limit Williams' playing time and involvement on the court.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 93%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams is averaging 4.6 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game, which totals to 8.1 combined points, rebounds, and assists, significantly exceeding the 5.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are struggling defensively, allowing a high pace and ample scoring opportunities, which favors increased production for Williams.
- →NARRATIVE: With the spread at Houston Rockets -13.5, a high-scoring game is expected, leading to more opportunities for Williams to contribute statistically as the game progresses.
- →TREND: Over the last 5 games, while Williams' individual stats may appear lower, he has had games where he contributed significantly when on the court for longer periods, indicating potential for increased contributions against weaker defenses.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz are currently on a losing streak and ranked 13th in the conference, suggesting that they are likely to struggle, which could lead to an increased workload for Williams in competitive or garbage time situations.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
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