Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Kyle Filipowski Over 34.5 points rebounds assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+581↓344%|+819
player points rebounds assists alternate
Kyle Filipowski Over 34.5 points rebounds assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+581↓344%|+819
player points rebounds assists alternate
61.60
Composite Score
+26.7%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
85.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup, we're anticipating a high-scoring game environment due to the Rockets' offensive potency and ability to control pace. Filipowski's historical performance against the Jazz, combined with the greater number of possessions expected in a potential blowout, supports the likelihood of him exceeding the 34.5 points, rebounds, and assists threshold. The Net EV of 0.27 reinforces the notion that this bet is undervalued by the market, indicating a favorable position to capitalize on his potential contribution.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 75%
Evidence
- →STATS: Kyle Filipowski has averaged 12.8 points and 8.8 rebounds over his last 5 games, averaging 21.6 total points and rebounds alone, indicating he's capable of exceeding 19.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets have a higher overall team strength and a tendency for games to be high-scoring, as indicated by the game total of 228.5, which could lead to more opportunities for Kyle to accumulate stats.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the Rockets are favored by 13.5 points, it's likely they will control the pace of the game. This translates into more total possessions, boosting Kyle's chances to contribute significantly.
- →TREND: In his last game against the Jazz, Kyle captured 13 rebounds and played 27 minutes, showcasing his capacity to perform well against this specific opponent, and previous encounters with Utah have yielded high rebounding totals for him.
- →SITUATIONAL: With no reported injuries and the opposing team's recent losing streak, the Jazz will likely struggle, leading to Kyle receiving extended minutes as he plays an integral role in trying to keep the game competitive.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 80%
Evidence
- →STATS: Kyle Filipowski has a season average of only 9.6 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 1.9 assists, totaling 17.6, which is significantly below the 19.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets have been formidable defensively this season, making it challenging for opposing players to accumulate high point, rebound, and assist totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With a game spread of Houston Rockets -13.5, a blowout risk is present, which could lead to limited minutes for Filipowski as the game's outcome becomes lopsided.
- →TREND: Over the last 5 games, Filipowski's scoring has averaged only 12.8 points, indicating he has not been able to approach the required combination of points, rebounds, and assists needed to exceed 19.5.
- →SITUATIONAL: Filipowski has been averaging just 21.1 minutes per game this season; with Houston likely to dominate the match, he could see even fewer minutes, further impairing his chances of reaching the target.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 75%
Evidence
- →STATS: Kyle Filipowski has averaged 12.8 points and 8.8 rebounds over his last 5 games, averaging 21.6 total points and rebounds alone, indicating he's capable of exceeding 19.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets have a higher overall team strength and a tendency for games to be high-scoring, as indicated by the game total of 228.5, which could lead to more opportunities for Kyle to accumulate stats.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the Rockets are favored by 13.5 points, it's likely they will control the pace of the game. This translates into more total possessions, boosting Kyle's chances to contribute significantly.
- →TREND: In his last game against the Jazz, Kyle captured 13 rebounds and played 27 minutes, showcasing his capacity to perform well against this specific opponent, and previous encounters with Utah have yielded high rebounding totals for him.
- →SITUATIONAL: With no reported injuries and the opposing team's recent losing streak, the Jazz will likely struggle, leading to Kyle receiving extended minutes as he plays an integral role in trying to keep the game competitive.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
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