Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Under 0.5 steals

💤 Noise Bet

+183— stable

player steals

Cade Cunningham Under 0.5 steals

💤 Noise Bet

+183— stable

player steals

43.70

Composite Score

+9.7%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

48.70

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

In this game, the San Antonio Spurs' high-scoring rhythm is likely to limit Cade Cunningham's opportunities to accumulate steals as the emphasis shifts towards offensive play rather than defensive disruption. Though the Net EV score slightly favors the Under on .5 steals, the opposing evidence regarding Cunningham's average steals and potential for increased opportunities in a high-paced matchup suggests that this bet is not compelling enough. The balance of evidence tips towards a scenario where bet placement carries more risk than reward.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 25%

Evidence

→STATS: In the last 5 games, Cade Cunningham has registered 0 steals in 2 of those games, which indicates inconsistency in his ability to get steals even when averaging 1.0 steals per game for the season.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are currently on an 8-game winning streak, reflecting a strong offensive rhythm that could limit defensive opportunities for Cunningham to create steals.
→NARRATIVE: Given that both teams have high-scoring capabilities (with a total of 232.5 points expected), the fast pace may favor scoring rather than forcing turnovers, making opportunities for steals less likely.
→TREND: Over the last 5 games, Cunningham has shown a lack of steals relative to his scoring output, averaging 1 steal compared to significant scoring - indicating he may prioritize offensive play over defensive disruption.
→SITUATIONAL: The close spread of 1.5 points suggests a competitive game, where both teams may have their key players (including Cunningham) engaging primarily in scoring, thus decreasing chances for defensive plays like steals.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 30%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham averages 1.0 steals per game this season, significantly above the 0.5 threshold needed, which demonstrates his capability to contribute defensively.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs, known for their fast-paced offense, may provide more opportunities for Cunningham to create steals as they generate a high volume of shots and turnovers.
→NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 232.5, the expected fast pace will likely contribute to more possessions, allowing Cunningham additional opportunities to make defensive plays, including steals.
→TREND: In his last 5 games, Cunningham registered 2 steals against the Spurs previously, indicating he has been able to capitalize on defensive situations against this team.
→SITUATIONAL: Cunningham's recent performances have seen significant minutes, with an average of 35.0 minutes per game, which increases his chances of being on the court during intense moments where steals are prevalent.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: espn.com, sportsdata.io

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 25%

Evidence

→STATS: In the last 5 games, Cade Cunningham has registered 0 steals in 2 of those games, which indicates inconsistency in his ability to get steals even when averaging 1.0 steals per game for the season.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs are currently on an 8-game winning streak, reflecting a strong offensive rhythm that could limit defensive opportunities for Cunningham to create steals.
→NARRATIVE: Given that both teams have high-scoring capabilities (with a total of 232.5 points expected), the fast pace may favor scoring rather than forcing turnovers, making opportunities for steals less likely.
→TREND: Over the last 5 games, Cunningham has shown a lack of steals relative to his scoring output, averaging 1 steal compared to significant scoring - indicating he may prioritize offensive play over defensive disruption.
→SITUATIONAL: The close spread of 1.5 points suggests a competitive game, where both teams may have their key players (including Cunningham) engaging primarily in scoring, thus decreasing chances for defensive plays like steals.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

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