Back to Kansas Jayhawks @ Arizona Wildcats
Tre White Under 17.5 points rebounds
🧠 Conviction Bet
-122— stable
player points rebounds
Tre White Under 17.5 points rebounds
🧠 Conviction Bet
-122— stable
player points rebounds
23.00
Composite Score
+2.2%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
8.90
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the close Net EV of 0.02, this wager on Tre White Under 17.5 points and rebounds reflects a market that is not significantly mispriced. While the pro agent highlights the tough defensive matchup and Tre White's struggle to hit this total, the anti agent points to higher pace and recent form that could suggest otherwise. Ultimately, the evenly balanced narrative and marginal EV suggest that the potential for betting profit is minimal, making it prudent to pass on this wager.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White has averaged significantly less than 17.5 points and rebounds combined over his recent games, indicating that hitting this total would require a substantial upward spike in performance.
- →MATCHUP: The Arizona Wildcats rank as one of the toughest defensive teams in the nation, making it challenging for opposing players to achieve high point and rebound totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game projected to have a total of 146.5, this suggests a fast-paced environment; however, in high-scoring games, defensive intensity often rises, which can limit individual stats like points and rebounds.
- →TREND: In Kansas' recent matches, Tre White has consistently failed to reach the 17.5 mark in points and rebounds, indicating a trend that does not favor exceeding this combined total in the upcoming game.
- →SITUATIONAL: Given that Kansas is coming off a less consistent run recently, coupled with the fact that they will be facing the 1st ranked Arizona Wildcats, Tre White may face additional pressure, leading to reduced performance.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White has been consistently putting up respectable performance numbers; he is averaging enough points and rebounds to suggest he can exceed the 17.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks are facing the Arizona Wildcats, who have a potent offense that could lead to faster pace and more possessions, further providing Tre White opportunities to accumulate points and rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game's high total of 146.5, a high-scoring environment is expected, which aligns with Tre White potentially reaching or exceeding 17.5 combined points and rebounds.
- →TREND: The Kansas Jayhawks are on a win streak, indicating they are in good form, which often translates into better individual performances by key players like Tre White.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Arizona Wildcats are currently favored by 8.5 points, suggesting they will push the pace. This means Tre White will likely see increased involvement and minutes, enhancing his chances of reaching the necessary totals.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White has averaged significantly less than 17.5 points and rebounds combined over his recent games, indicating that hitting this total would require a substantial upward spike in performance.
- →MATCHUP: The Arizona Wildcats rank as one of the toughest defensive teams in the nation, making it challenging for opposing players to achieve high point and rebound totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game projected to have a total of 146.5, this suggests a fast-paced environment; however, in high-scoring games, defensive intensity often rises, which can limit individual stats like points and rebounds.
- →TREND: In Kansas' recent matches, Tre White has consistently failed to reach the 17.5 mark in points and rebounds, indicating a trend that does not favor exceeding this combined total in the upcoming game.
- →SITUATIONAL: Given that Kansas is coming off a less consistent run recently, coupled with the fact that they will be facing the 1st ranked Arizona Wildcats, Tre White may face additional pressure, leading to reduced performance.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
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