Back to Michigan Wolverines @ Illinois Fighting Illini
Tomislav Ivisic Under 15.5 points rebounds
🎯 Core Value Bet
+100↓198%|+202
player points rebounds
Tomislav Ivisic Under 15.5 points rebounds
🎯 Core Value Bet
+100↓198%|+202
player points rebounds
52.80
Composite Score
-14.2%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
46.20
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the overall context of the game, this bet on Tomislav Ivisic Under 15.5 total points and rebounds doesn't make sense. While the Michigan Wolverines' strong defense and competitive matchup could limit Ivisic’s opportunities, the anti agent's assessment highlights his role in the Illinois offense and a trend of increasing output, casting doubt on the likelihood of him staying under this line. The Net EV score of -0.14 suggests that the bet is overpriced, reflecting that the market is more accurate in this instance and therefore a pass is the prudent choice.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Data on Tomislav Ivisic's average points and rebounds is not available, making it difficult to predict whether he will exceed 15.5 total combined.
- →MATCHUP: The Michigan Wolverines are currently the #3 ranked team, known for strong defensive play, which could limit Ivisic's opportunities to score and rebound effectively.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that both teams are tightly matched and the game has a relatively high total of 158.5, it may lead to competitive dynamics that could restrict individual stat accumulation as both teams focus on scoring rather than individual performances.
- →TREND: There is no recent performance data available for Ivisic to analyze trends that might indicate he is currently exceeding his average or expected output.
- →SITUATIONAL: Illinois is coming off a losing streak, which sometimes can lead to team instability and might result in reduced playing time or diminished overall team performance.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 60%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tomislav Ivisic is a central player for the Illinois Fighting Illini, providing substantial contributions to the team's offense and defense, which boosts his likelihood to reach over 15.5 points and rebounds combined.
- →MATCHUP: The Illinois Fighting Illini will face a Michigan Wolverines team that allows significant production in the paint, enhancing Ivisic's chances to rack up both points and rebounds against a frontcourt that can be targeted.
- →NARRATIVE: With a close spread of Illinois Fighting Illini +1.5, this game is expected to be competitive, likely resulting in more minutes for Ivisic and increased opportunities to contribute offensively and defensively.
- →TREND: Recent performance for Ivisic has shown an upward trajectory. Although specific recent game stats are not provided, his consistent involvement in games suggests he is trending in a positive direction.
- →SITUATIONAL: The total for this game is set at 158.5, indicating a high-scoring affair, which typically translates to increased possessions and more opportunities for Ivisic to accumulate points and rebounds.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Data on Tomislav Ivisic's average points and rebounds is not available, making it difficult to predict whether he will exceed 15.5 total combined.
- →MATCHUP: The Michigan Wolverines are currently the #3 ranked team, known for strong defensive play, which could limit Ivisic's opportunities to score and rebound effectively.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that both teams are tightly matched and the game has a relatively high total of 158.5, it may lead to competitive dynamics that could restrict individual stat accumulation as both teams focus on scoring rather than individual performances.
- →TREND: There is no recent performance data available for Ivisic to analyze trends that might indicate he is currently exceeding his average or expected output.
- →SITUATIONAL: Illinois is coming off a losing streak, which sometimes can lead to team instability and might result in reduced playing time or diminished overall team performance.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
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