Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Cody Williams Under 9.5 points rebounds
💤 Noise Bet
-114— stable
player points rebounds
Cody Williams Under 9.5 points rebounds
💤 Noise Bet
-114— stable
player points rebounds
33.00
Composite Score
+4.2%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
20.90
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The expected narrative for this game anticipates a strong offensive performance from the Rockets, potentially leading to reduced playing time for Cody Williams if the outcome becomes lopsided. Coupled with his recent struggles and low average points and rebounds, the case for the Under is supported; however, the anti-agent's reasoning about potential garbage time could offset this. The Net EV score of 0.04 indicates a slight edge, but not enough to warrant a confident bet given the conflicting evidence in these scenarios.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams has averaged only 3.0 points and 1.2 rebounds over his last 5 games, totaling just 4.2 combined, making it very unlikely he'll exceed 9.5.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are currently 2nd in their division with a strong defensive presence, which could limit Cody's scoring and rebounding opportunities significantly.
- →NARRATIVE: The large spread of 13.5 in favor of the Rockets suggests a potential blowout, which often leads to starters like Williams seeing reduced playing time, thereby limiting his stats.
- →TREND: Cody Williams' recent performance has him significantly underperforming, as he has not reached even 5 combined points and rebounds in any of his last five games.
- →SITUATIONAL: Williams averages only 21.2 minutes per game, which is likely to decrease further if the game outcome becomes lopsided in favor of the Rockets, resulting in even fewer opportunities to score or grab rebounds.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 10%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams has averaged 3.0 points and 1.2 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, showing his scoring and board performance can potentially be affected by more minutes on the court.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz's recent struggles, particularly their inability to contain opposing players, especially those in forward positions, could provide Williams with more opportunities to excel in both scoring and rebounding.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of -13.5 in favor of the Houston Rockets, they are likely to dominate the game, leading to more minutes for bench players like Williams as the game progresses into garbage time, which could boost his stats.
- →TREND: While Williams has struggled recently, the conditions of this game present a chance for him to perform better due to the expected high pace of the game, which could allow more scoring opportunities.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz's defensive issues combined with the heavy usage that is predicted for Rockets players in this scenario could lead to more rebounding opportunities for Williams, especially if the game remains competitive into the second half.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cody Williams has averaged only 3.0 points and 1.2 rebounds over his last 5 games, totaling just 4.2 combined, making it very unlikely he'll exceed 9.5.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are currently 2nd in their division with a strong defensive presence, which could limit Cody's scoring and rebounding opportunities significantly.
- →NARRATIVE: The large spread of 13.5 in favor of the Rockets suggests a potential blowout, which often leads to starters like Williams seeing reduced playing time, thereby limiting his stats.
- →TREND: Cody Williams' recent performance has him significantly underperforming, as he has not reached even 5 combined points and rebounds in any of his last five games.
- →SITUATIONAL: Williams averages only 21.2 minutes per game, which is likely to decrease further if the game outcome becomes lopsided in favor of the Rockets, resulting in even fewer opportunities to score or grab rebounds.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available