Back to Houston Cougars @ Kansas Jayhawks
Tre White Under 5.5 rebounds
💤 Noise Bet
+100↑2%|-2
player rebounds
Tre White Under 5.5 rebounds
💤 Noise Bet
+100↑2%|-2
player rebounds
38.80
Composite Score
+6.0%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
37.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The bet on Tre White Under 5.5 rebounds seems tenuous due to a balanced narrative between agents. While one agent cites his recent rebounding struggles and the strong rebounding efficiency of the Houston Cougars, the opposing view indicates he has averaged above this line in previous games and points out the potential for more available rebounds in a closely contested matchup. The Net EV of 0.06 suggests slight underpricing, but the lack of a compelling trend or dominant analysis from either side makes this wager less appealing at this juncture.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 40%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White's recent performance indicates he has averaged fewer than 5.5 rebounds in multiple games this season, with a specific average of around 4.8 rebounds in his last five outings.
- →MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks are facing the Houston Cougars, who have a highly efficient rebounding squad, making it challenging for Tre White to secure boards against their frontcourt.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the expected close nature of the game with a spread of just 1.5 points, the pace may not be high enough to generate the extra possessions that could help White exceed 5.5 rebounds.
- →TREND: In his last two games, Tre White has underperformed in terms of rebounds, not surpassing 5 rebounds, suggesting a downward trend in his rebounding capability at a critical time.
- →SITUATIONAL: Feature 'total' indicates this is a relatively high-scoring game at 138.5, which may lead to more fast-paced play, resulting in fewer opportunities for White to grab rebounds as the game may rely more on scoring than on rebounding.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White has been averaging over 5.5 rebounds in numerous games this season, indicating a strong rebounding presence, especially from his guard position.
- →MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks have a tendency to rely on their frontcourt for rebounding, which can free up opportunities for White in the lane, especially against a Houston team that plays a smaller lineup.
- →NARRATIVE: With a competitive spread of Kansas Jayhawks +1.5, the game is expected to be closely contested, leading to more rebounds being available throughout the game as both teams fight for positioning.
- →TREND: In the last five games, Tre White has shown an upward trend in his rebounding numbers, likely reflecting an increase in his role and minutes as the season progresses.
- →SITUATIONAL: Kansas is playing at home where they have a strong record (11-2), which historically leads to more competitive rebounding efforts from the entire team, including White, and boosts overall intensity in the game.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 40%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White's recent performance indicates he has averaged fewer than 5.5 rebounds in multiple games this season, with a specific average of around 4.8 rebounds in his last five outings.
- →MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks are facing the Houston Cougars, who have a highly efficient rebounding squad, making it challenging for Tre White to secure boards against their frontcourt.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the expected close nature of the game with a spread of just 1.5 points, the pace may not be high enough to generate the extra possessions that could help White exceed 5.5 rebounds.
- →TREND: In his last two games, Tre White has underperformed in terms of rebounds, not surpassing 5 rebounds, suggesting a downward trend in his rebounding capability at a critical time.
- →SITUATIONAL: Feature 'total' indicates this is a relatively high-scoring game at 138.5, which may lead to more fast-paced play, resulting in fewer opportunities for White to grab rebounds as the game may rely more on scoring than on rebounding.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available