SAL 9000
SAL 9000
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Georgia Southern EaglesGeorgia Southern Eagles19-9
@
Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall Thundering Herd19-11
Live
Sat, Feb 28 • 2:10 AM|✓2/28 12:26 AM|15 wagers0
Game Lines
SPR
ML
O/U
Eagles
🎯-110-110 (+6.5)—
🧠+225+225↑6%
💤-110-110 (167.5)—
Herd
💤-110-110 (-6.5)—
💤-275-275↓8%
🧠-110-110 (167.5)—

Key Themes

Read full game script

SAL's Picks

🔒 SAL's Lock🎯 T1

Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5

The anticipated game narrative suggests a competitive matchup between Georgia Southern and Marshall, but with the Net EV at -0.03, the betting value has shifted against covering the spread....

-110-3.1% EVScore: 27%

📊Analysis Quality(9 actionable / 18 total)

🎯 3
Core Value Bet
Count: 3 (17%)
Avg EV: -2.6%
Range: -3.1% - -2.0%
🧠 6
Conviction Bet
Count: 6 (33%)
Avg EV: 3.6%
Range: 0.4% - 6.5%
💤 9
Noise Bet
Count: 9 (50%)
Avg EV: -10.2%
Range: -14.1% - -7.1%
🎯Core
3 (17%)
🧠Conviction
6 (33%)
🚀Asymmetric
0 (0%)
💤Noise
9 (50%)

Tier Distribution by Prop Type

No player props available
Prop tier breakdown will appear once props are analyzed
🦎

SAL's Game Script

Full betting analysis and game context

The conflicting professional action here is the canary in the coal mine: sharps steaming Marshall's spread to -114 while compressing Georgia Southern's moneyline from +260 to +240 tells you the market doesn't trust the full 6.5-point spread despite legitimately favoring the Herd. This isn't a line that's been hammered by public money in one direction—it's been strategically hedged by sophisticated bettors who believe Marshall wins but question whether the home court advantage justifies a full touchdown. Marshall's case is structurally sound. The Thundering Herd are 13-3 (.813) at Cam Henderson Center on senior night with Noah Otshudi and Jalen Speer commanding 31+ minutes each. That home-court efficiency gap versus Georgia Southern's 5-4 road record (.556) represents a 26-point win-rate differential that's genuinely significant. The Eagles just scored 66 points against James Madison—a catastrophic outlier that rightfully makes bettors skeptical of their offensive consistency. Marshall's recent 97-point output against Old Dominion demonstrates their scoring ceiling, and Otshudi (45.7% FG) plus Speer (39.9% FG) provide veteran backcourt stability that Georgia Southern's Jeremiah Wilkinson (41.1% FG) and Marcus Millender (44.3% FG) can't guarantee. But here's what sharp money recognizes and the public hasn't fully processed: Georgia Southern's 19-9 overall record (.679 win percentage)...

Analysis generated 2/28/2026, 12:26:31 AM

📊SAL's Edge Analysis

EV0%Story50%Pro35%Bal53%Score26%
Edge over market odds
Fits game narrative
Bullish agent confidence
Pro vs Anti consensus
Overall quality metric
Core ValueGame Line

Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5

-1.1%edge
vs All WagersBottom 22%
vs Core ValueTop 33%
Below average edge
Odds
-106
Implied
51%
SAL Est.
50%
EV
-2.0%
1 of 9 wagers

Top Individual Bets(9 of 18)

Book:
Bet
Total Under 167.5 Georgia Southern Eagles @ Marshall Thundering Herd
+6.5%-105
🧠FanDuel • totals
🧠
Total Under 167.5 Georgia Southern Eagles @ Marshall Thundering Herd
FanDuel • totals
+6.5%
30.30
-105
Total Under 167.5 Georgia Southern Eagles @ Marshall Thundering Herd
+5.9%-108
🧠DraftKings • totals
🧠
Total Under 167.5 Georgia Southern Eagles @ Marshall Thundering Herd
DraftKings • totals
+5.9%
29.30
-108
Total Under 167.5 Georgia Southern Eagles @ Marshall Thundering Herd
+5.5%-110
🧠BetMGM • totals
🧠
Total Under 167.5 Georgia Southern Eagles @ Marshall Thundering Herd
BetMGM • totals
+5.5%
28.70
-110
Georgia Southern Eagles ML
+2.2%+255
🧠FanDuel • h2h
🧠
Georgia Southern Eagles ML
FanDuel • h2h
+2.2%
40.10
+255
Georgia Southern Eagles ML
+1.3%+240
🧠DraftKings • h2h
🧠
Georgia Southern Eagles ML
DraftKings • h2h
+1.3%
38.50
+240
Georgia Southern Eagles ML
+0.4%+225
🧠BetMGM • h2h
🧠
Georgia Southern Eagles ML
BetMGM • h2h
+0.4%
36.90
+225
Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5
-2.0%-106
🎯FanDuel • spreads
🎯
Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5
FanDuel • spreads
-2.0%
25.90
-106
Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5
-2.6%-108
🎯DraftKings • spreads
🎯
Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5
DraftKings • spreads
-2.6%
26.30
-108
Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5
-3.1%-110
🎯BetMGM • spreads
🎯
Georgia Southern Eagles +6.5
BetMGM • spreads
-3.1%
26.70
-110
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