Duke's 13-0 home record isn't variance—it's a structural advantage amplified by Cameron Boozer's unstoppable efficiency and five starters shooting above 40% from three. Virginia ranks 11th defensively, but that ranking collapses against pace and spacing. The Cavaliers held NC State to 51 points recently, yet that victory came against a glacial-paced opponent with mediocre perimeter shooting. Duke demolished Notre Dame by 44 points with balanced scoring across six double-figure contributors, showcasing the precise offensive blueprint that exposes Virginia's interior-heavy rotations. When Virginia plays spacing teams that push tempo—exactly Duke's identity—their defense hemorrhages points. The critical mismatch centers on Thijs De Ridder's defensive burden. Virginia's leading scorer (16.0 PPG) must defend Cameron Boozer on switches while managing rebounding duties (6.3 RPG). Boozer (22.7 PPG, 10.1 RPG) is both more efficient and more voluminous; De Ridder will either accumulate fouls or concede baskets. Duke's four-out spacing with Boozer on the wing forces Virginia's interior defenders (Johann Grunloh 7'0", Ugonna Onyenso 7'0") into drop coverage, creating penetration lanes and corner three looks. Malik Thomas (37.3% from three) and Sam Lewis (41.5%) will see closeouts from elite Duke shooters, generating turnovers that fuel transition opportunities where Virginia's perimeter-heavy defense cannot recover. Duke's execution pressure...